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2014-03-08

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% -
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Russell * 39 5-14 1-3 2-3 1 3 0 0 4 13 -1 -
N. Moore * 33 6-11 2-4 2-2 3 7 2 0 3 16 14 -
S. Brown * 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
S. Williams * 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
C. Cunningham * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
M. Kennedy 20 6-8 0-0 1-3 4 0 3 0 1 13 11 -
Y. Moreira 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 4 3 -
K. Frazier 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
B. Moore 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -5 -
R. Manuel 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Draper 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. McDowell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Crawford * 39 3-12 3-10 0-0 5 3 4 2 3 9 8 -
J. Jackson * 39 6-14 2-4 4-9 2 3 2 0 3 18 8 -
A. Nichols * 35 7-9 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 3 0 14 18 -
S. Goodwin * 23 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 3 4 0 3 2 10 -
G. Johnson * 21 2-3 0-1 0-2 4 4 1 0 1 4 9 -
N. King 17 2-3 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 1 1 7 12 -
M. Dixon Jr. 16 4-10 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 9 2 -
D. Pellom 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
D. Woodson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter