Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -13 (71-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 35 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 6-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Jones * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 9-15 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| S. Van Treese * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| T. Rozier | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Russell * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Brown * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Moore * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Manuel | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Moore | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Frazier | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Head | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter