Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 37 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | - |
| R. Smith * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| S. Van Treese * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Jones * | 21 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Rozier | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson * | 36 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Nichols * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| S. Goodwin * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Crawford * | 25 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Dixon Jr. | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| N. King | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Wilson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Pellom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter