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2014-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 79.0% 21.0% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 37 2-7 0-2 3-3 4 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
S. Goodwin * 35 8-15 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 2 16 11 -
G. Johnson * 28 2-4 1-3 1-2 4 5 3 0 4 6 10 -
C. Crawford * 26 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 2 3 -
A. Nichols * 17 6-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 12 11 -
M. Dixon Jr. 31 7-14 2-5 3-3 3 4 0 0 2 19 10 -
N. King 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 6 6 -
D. Pellom 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Thomas * 34 6-7 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 3 2 16 18 -
L.J. Rose * 32 1-5 0-2 5-6 7 10 1 0 1 7 19 -
B. Morris * 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Barnes * 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Knowles * 14 3-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 8 4 -
D. House Jr. 27 5-8 3-5 6-9 1 0 1 3 1 19 15 -
J. Stiggers 25 4-10 4-9 2-2 4 2 0 1 2 14 9 -
T. Womack 20 1-4 1-2 1-3 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Simmons 8 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
J.J. Richardson 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter