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2014-02-23

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 6.7% 93.3% -
Bradley-Terry 15.9% 84.1% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -9 (55-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 33 4-9 1-4 6-6 1 5 0 0 3 15 9 -
N. Russell * 31 4-8 3-4 4-6 2 4 1 0 0 15 14 -
S. Brown * 29 2-7 1-3 1-4 8 1 2 1 2 6 9 -
M. Kennedy * 25 5-10 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 0 3 13 11 -
S. Williams * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 5 -
B. Moore 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
R. Manuel 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 2 1 5 7 -
K. Frazier 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 5 1 -
Y. Moreira 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
C. Cunningham 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Head 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boatright * 38 3-12 2-5 7-11 4 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
S. Napier * 37 5-16 1-3 4-4 2 2 3 1 5 15 2 -
D. Daniels * 30 2-10 0-4 2-2 8 0 1 1 2 6 4 -
L. Kromah * 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
A. Brimah * 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 3 3 1 9 -
N. Giffey 29 4-6 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
P. Nolan 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
O. Calhoun 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Olander 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter