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2014-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 18.9% 81.1% -
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +5 (86-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Goodwin 44 3-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 5 3 7 8 -
J. Jackson 43 10-17 0-1 4-5 4 7 1 0 2 24 17 -
C. Crawford 35 4-11 4-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 12 5 -
A. Nichols 28 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 1 2 9 10 -
G. Johnson 28 7-10 1-1 0-0 8 3 0 0 4 15 12 -
M. Dixon Jr. 26 4-7 2-5 0-0 6 4 1 1 4 10 11 -
D. Pellom 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
N. King 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Iverson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kromah 41 2-7 0-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
R. Boatright 39 4-12 2-2 11-12 0 6 2 0 2 21 15 -
S. Napier 38 10-21 5-12 9-12 5 4 4 0 1 34 25 -
D. Daniels 31 2-8 1-2 3-4 6 0 0 2 0 8 8 -
P. Nolan 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
N. Giffey 21 2-6 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
T. Olander 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
T. Samuel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Brimah 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Facey 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter