Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Sykes * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Staphon Blair * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Goodwin * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 22 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Matt Williams | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Justin McBride | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Jackson * | 37 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Geron Johnson * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Austin Nichols * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Michael Dixon | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nick King | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| David Pellom | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dominic Woodson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kuran Iverson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter