๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% - โœ—
Margin 80.4% 19.6% -7.7 โœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Dower * 37 9-12 0-1 0-1 8 3 1 0 1 18 17 -
Kevin Pangos * 34 2-9 1-7 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 4 0 3 3 3 -
Przemek Karnowski * 33 5-9 0-1 2-6 4 1 0 3 2 12 9 -
David Stockton * 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 3 -
Kyle Dranginis 16 0-1 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
Gerard Coleman 15 5-11 0-2 2-3 0 0 1 0 1 12 1 -
Drew Barham 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Angel Nunez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Jackson * 39 2-9 0-0 6-8 4 5 1 1 1 10 11 -
Chris Crawford * 37 3-9 3-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 11 9 -
Shaq Goodwin * 28 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 1 0 3 0 10 17 -
Austin Nichols * 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Geron Johnson * 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 4 0 -
Michael Dixon 26 4-10 1-4 2-4 5 3 1 0 1 11 9 -
Nick King 17 1-2 0-0 4-7 7 0 0 1 0 6 12 -
Dominic Woodson 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
David Pellom 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter