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2014-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% -
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% -
Margin 80.4% 19.6% -7.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dower * 37 9-12 0-1 0-1 8 3 1 0 1 18 17 -
K. Pangos * 34 2-9 1-7 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 4 0 3 3 3 -
P. Karnowski * 33 5-9 0-1 2-6 4 1 0 3 2 12 9 -
D. Stockton * 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Dranginis 16 0-1 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
G. Coleman 15 5-11 0-2 2-3 0 0 1 0 1 12 1 -
D. Barham 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nunez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 39 2-9 0-0 6-8 4 5 1 1 1 10 11 -
C. Crawford * 37 3-9 3-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 11 9 -
S. Goodwin * 28 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 1 0 3 0 10 17 -
A. Nichols * 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
G. Johnson * 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 4 0 -
M. Dixon Jr. 26 4-10 1-4 2-4 5 3 1 0 1 11 9 -
N. King 17 1-2 0-0 4-7 7 0 0 1 0 6 12 -
D. Woodson 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
D. Pellom 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter