Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +21 (76-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 38 | 5-18 | 3-12 | 9-11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Titus Rubles * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shaq Thomas * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Troy Caupain | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jermaine Lawrence | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| David Nyarsuk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanick Moreira | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Nick Russell * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Markus Kennedy * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ben Moore | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Crandall Head | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter