Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.7% | 3.3% | -18.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -15 (62-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrezl Harrell * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Russ Smith * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Luke Hancock * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Chris Jones * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mangok Mathiang | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anton Gill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Rose * | 38 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Danuel House * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| TaShawn Thomas * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Morris * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| LeRon Barnes * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Tione Womack | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J.J. Richardson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mikhail McLean | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter