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2014-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 86.6% 13.4% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Log Adjusted 95.8% 4.2% -

Actual: Houston Cougars -15 (62-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harrell * 37 7-12 0-0 1-7 5 2 2 2 2 15 12 -
R. Smith * 37 5-12 3-7 4-7 2 6 0 0 2 17 11 -
L. Hancock * 36 3-6 1-3 8-9 7 2 1 0 2 15 17 -
C. Jones * 25 5-8 2-5 2-3 1 3 5 0 1 14 14 -
S. Van Treese * 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 8 -
M. Mathiang 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 2 1 3 7 -
T. Rozier 18 2-3 1-1 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 9 12 -
T. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gill 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.J. Rose * 38 2-6 1-2 2-6 4 6 1 0 2 7 10 -
D. House Jr. * 34 5-10 0-4 1-4 4 3 0 0 2 11 6 -
T. Thomas * 25 5-8 0-0 4-6 8 1 1 1 4 14 13 -
B. Morris * 21 3-5 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 6 9 -
L. Barnes * 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Stiggers 23 4-8 3-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
T. Womack 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
D. Knowles 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J.J. Richardson 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. McLean 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
J. Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter