Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 7-12 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| G. Johnson * | 36 | 8-16 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| S. Goodwin * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Crawford * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| A. Nichols * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Dixon Jr. | 20 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Woodson | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Iverson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. King | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Russell * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 31 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| N. Moore * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| S. Brown * | 22 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Frazier | 15 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Moore | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Manuel | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Head | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Mudiay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilfong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Dunleavy Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter