Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 11-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Titus Rubles * | 36 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Shaq Thomas * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn * | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Troy Caupain | 22 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 39 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Smith * | 32 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| C. Jones | 23 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter