Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (42.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +39 (91-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thomas * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Womack * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Morris * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. McLean * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Barnes * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Stiggers | 30 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Simmons | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Knowles | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. House Jr. | 19 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L.J. Rose | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rozier * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| R. Smith * | 24 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 29 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Henderson | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Gill | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Agau | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Levitch | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter