Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +39 (91-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TaShawn Thomas * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Tione Womack * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Morris * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mikhail McLean * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| LeRon Barnes * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jherrod Stiggers | 30 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Danuel House | 19 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L.J. Rose | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Russ Smith * | 24 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Luke Hancock * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Mangok Mathiang * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Wayne Blackshear | 29 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anton Gill | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Akoy Agau | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| David Levitch | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter