Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Rudd * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Corey Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Musa Abdul-Aleem * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Martino Brock * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| John Egbunu * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Josh Heath | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zach LeDay | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Chris Perry | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Javontae Hawkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Omogbehin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Markus Kennedy * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 35 | - |
| Shawn Williams * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Nick Russell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ben Moore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Crandall Head | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Dunleavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter