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2014-01-12

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% -
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Russell * 33 3-8 2-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 9 5 -
N. Moore * 29 2-8 0-4 1-3 5 4 1 0 2 5 5 -
S. Brown * 26 1-8 0-1 1-5 7 3 2 1 3 3 5 -
M. Kennedy * 24 5-12 0-1 2-3 8 0 3 0 2 12 9 -
S. Williams * 13 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
C. Cunningham 21 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 8 6 -
B. Moore 19 3-5 0-0 3-5 7 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
R. Manuel 17 2-8 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 1 0 7 4 -
K. Frazier 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
C. Head 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harrell * 38 5-8 0-0 2-7 13 1 0 4 2 12 20 -
R. Smith * 38 7-16 3-5 6-7 5 7 4 0 4 23 19 -
L. Hancock * 26 8-15 4-9 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 23 9 -
W. Blackshear * 16 1-3 1-3 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
C. Jones * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 2 2 -
T. Rozier 28 3-7 2-3 0-2 5 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
S. Van Treese 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 0 3 -
M. Mathiang 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 0 3 -
T. Henderson 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter