Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Russell * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Moore * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Brown * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 24 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Williams * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Moore | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Manuel | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Frazier | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Head | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| R. Smith * | 38 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 19 | - |
| L. Hancock * | 26 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Jones * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Rozier | 28 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Henderson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter