Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabazz Napier | 36 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Boatright | 31 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| DeAndre Daniels | 31 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Lasan Kromah | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Olander | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Niels Giffey | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Omar Calhoun | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Amida Brimah | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kentan Facey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Phillip Nolan | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore | 35 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Nick Russell | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Williams | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 14 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Yanick Moreira | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ben Moore | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Crandall Head | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter