Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 7-20 | 0-5 | 5-10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Hancock | 28 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Behanan | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Rozier | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Agau | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young * | 36 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 5-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| W. Cauley-Stein * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| J. Randle * | 21 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Poythress | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter