๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Florida International Panthers Spread Result
Elo 85.5% 14.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“
Margin 99.0% 1.0% -25.3 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“

Actual: Florida International Panthers -29 (56-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russ Smith 32 6-12 4-7 2-3 1 3 0 0 3 18 7 -
Chris Jones 29 1-6 1-3 2-4 2 6 5 0 0 5 12 -
Montrezl Harrell 26 4-7 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 2 2 10 10 -
Mangok Mathiang 23 2-4 0-0 2-5 7 0 0 2 0 6 11 -
Chane Behanan 18 3-4 0-0 3-4 5 4 1 0 2 9 13 -
Terry Rozier 18 2-5 2-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 0 8 7 -
Wayne Blackshear 18 3-9 3-7 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
Luke Hancock 13 2-3 1-2 2-4 1 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
Stephan Van Treese 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 2 8 -
Anton Gill 7 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Tim Henderson 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Florida International Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Mavin 35 2-10 2-5 1-6 4 2 0 1 6 7 -2 -
Tymell Murphy 34 6-8 0-0 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 16 14 -
Rakeem Buckles 32 4-17 1-4 4-4 9 1 0 1 4 13 3 -
A. Boswell 27 1-4 0-2 3-3 2 2 0 0 5 5 0 -
Jerome Frink 27 3-7 1-2 3-4 5 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
Dominique Williams 22 1-5 0-1 0-1 7 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Marco Porcher Jimenez 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Ivan Jurkovic 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter