Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +30 (90-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Addo | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Ruder * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Marshall * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Gulley * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. McCullough * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Thomas | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Kirk | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| D. Williams | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Pickens | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Mvouika | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Thurman | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Simpson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Marshall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Scheer | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 15 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| L. Hancock | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Behanan | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Agau | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Henderson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Ware | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Gill | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter