Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 40 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 38 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 38 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Butler | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. James | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Houston | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 34 | 8-16 | 0-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 33 | 9-23 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Harding | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Beard | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter