Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 39 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Parker | 39 | 13-24 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21 | - |
| L. Harding | 36 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Toliver | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Coleman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Lavender | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 39 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| B. Butler | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Kizer | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Houston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter