Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -11 (75-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 40 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 11-13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 21 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 39 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Briana Butler | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charde Houston | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jasmine James | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 38 | 11-19 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 27 | 1-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter