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2013-09-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Latta 37 6-11 3-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 15 8 -
M. Ajavon 30 2-6 0-3 5-6 4 5 4 0 4 9 12 -
M. Currie 29 5-10 3-4 9-10 2 3 0 0 1 22 16 -
C. Langhorne 27 2-8 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
Kia Vaughn 27 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
Emma Meesseman 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 -
T. Hill 11 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Snow 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
N. McKenith 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Henry-Morello 36 2-7 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 1 2 6 9 -
Angel McCoughtry 35 4-19 0-5 5-9 5 7 3 0 4 13 5 -
E. de Souza 35 8-15 0-0 2-4 14 2 2 1 4 18 18 -
Jasmine Thomas 29 2-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 4 1 -
A. Herrington 25 5-7 0-0 4-4 4 4 3 1 1 14 18 -
Tiffany Hayes 22 5-10 3-6 5-6 0 0 0 0 2 18 6 -
A. Bentley 11 1-3 0-1 3-3 2 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
R. Riley 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter