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2013-09-21

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 โœ— (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Mystics -18 (45-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aneika Morello * 35 5-7 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 1 10 14 -
Tiffany Hayes * 34 3-10 0-3 3-3 11 4 0 0 1 9 13 -
Erika de Souza * 33 5-13 0-0 1-2 15 3 0 0 4 11 12 -
Jasmine Thomas * 31 1-8 0-1 0-0 3 6 2 1 2 2 4 -
Angel McCoughtry * 27 6-23 1-6 7-8 5 3 3 1 3 20 6 -
Armintie Herrington 18 3-6 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Ruth Riley 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Alex Bentley 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 24 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ivory Latta * 24 3-8 1-3 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Kia Vaughn * 23 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
Monique Currie * 18 0-6 0-2 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
Matee Ajavon * 16 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt 22 2-6 0-0 4-8 3 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
Tayler Hill 21 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 11 6 -
Emma Meesseman 17 3-6 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 2 0 8 9 -
Nadirah McKenith 15 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 2 0 -
Michelle Snow 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 6 -
Quanitra Hollingsworth 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter