Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (120-122). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 47 | 11-24 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 43 | 10-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 42 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 40 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 15 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steve Blake | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 42 | 11-23 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 13-21 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Vince Carter | 30 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devin Harris | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter