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2014-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 85.6% 14.4% -6.3 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 78.0% 22.0% - โœ“
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics -20 (88-108). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 27 7-15 1-8 3-3 1 4 3 0 0 18 11 -
David Lee * 24 9-17 0-0 0-0 10 3 2 0 1 18 15 -
Andrew Bogut * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 4 1 4 16 -
Andre Iguodala * 22 5-9 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 11 7 -
Stephen Curry * 21 6-10 1-4 1-1 3 4 1 0 0 14 12 -
Steve Blake 27 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 4 6 -
Harrison Barnes 25 1-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 -1 -
Draymond Green 23 3-7 0-2 1-2 5 4 2 1 3 7 9 -
Jordan Crawford 19 7-12 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 15 3 -
Marreese Speights 12 1-4 0-1 5-5 5 1 0 0 3 7 6 -
Jermaine O'Neal 12 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 1 0 7 7 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rajon Rondo * 37 6-14 1-5 1-4 5 7 1 1 7 14 7 -
Jeff Green * 24 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 4 2 -
Brandon Bass * 23 4-5 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 0 1 11 14 -
Jerryd Bayless * 22 3-8 0-1 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
Kris Humphries * 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -2 -
Kelly Olynyk 27 6-12 3-6 4-4 5 3 0 1 2 19 14 -
Jared Sullinger 25 1-7 0-3 9-10 4 0 1 0 3 11 6 -
Chris Johnson 25 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
Chris Babb 23 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Phil Pressey 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 7 8 -
Joel Anthony 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter