Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (116-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 40 | 14-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 38 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Austin Rivers | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Withey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darius Miller | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 41 | 14-21 | 3-7 | 9-11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 24 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 30 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ish Smith | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter