Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (126-122). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 11-22 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 39 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 32 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Ben McLemore * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Ray McCallum | 22 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 33 | 8-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 28 | 9-14 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 23 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 25 | 9-13 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Kaman | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter