Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (92-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 34 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 34 | 3-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 30 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Gary Neal | 23 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Cody Zeller | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Luke Ridnour | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Danny Green * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 30 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Patty Mills | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 25 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter