Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (91-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 44 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 41 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 29 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Snell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 4-8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Vince Carter | 26 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Devin Harris | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter