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Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Margin 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -23 (103-126). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 30 9-19 5-11 4-4 11 11 0 1 4 27 27 -
Klay Thompson * 29 9-17 5-10 2-3 3 1 1 0 0 25 13 -
Andre Iguodala * 26 2-8 0-2 3-5 5 3 3 0 0 7 10 -
David Lee * 23 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 1 2 10 11 -
Andrew Bogut * 12 3-3 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
Harrison Barnes 26 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
Draymond Green 22 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 3 1 0 5 6 -
Jermaine O'Neal 20 6-8 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 1 2 15 12 -
Steve Blake 19 3-6 2-4 1-1 3 4 1 0 0 9 11 -
Jordan Crawford 18 0-5 0-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 4 1 -4 -
Marreese Speights 10 3-7 0-0 6-7 1 0 0 1 0 12 7 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 37 7-26 1-6 8-8 16 2 1 0 2 23 14 -
JR Smith * 31 7-19 3-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 17 1 -
Tyson Chandler * 29 2-10 0-0 2-3 12 3 2 0 2 6 11 -
Raymond Felton * 21 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 6 8 2 -
Pablo Prigioni * 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 40 6-11 4-7 6-6 2 0 2 0 1 22 14 -
Toure' Murry 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 8 3 -
Jeremy Tyler 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 6 6 -
Shannon Brown 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
Earl Clark 10 2-5 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 2 0 8 10 -

* = starter