Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +20 (99-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 33 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alec Burks | 24 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 17 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rudy Gobert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Lucas III | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 26 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Gee | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sergey Karasev | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Arinze Onuaku | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter