Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -23 (89-112). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Livingston * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 26 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 21 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 26 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alan Anderson | 12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jason Collins | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fournier * | 44 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 25 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| JJ Hickson | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Quincy Miller | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jan Vesely | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter