Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (129-134). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 51 | 4-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 50 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 49 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| John Wall * | 49 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Martell Webster | 37 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Al Harrington | 15 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Andre Miller | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 57 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 12-14 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 54 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 42 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez | 38 | 11-19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 13 | - |
| John Salmons | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Steve Novak | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Landry Fields | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter