Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (101-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 29 | 10-20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nate Wolters * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| O.J. Mayo | 23 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| John Henson | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson * | 41 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Paul George * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| David West * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| George Hill * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Evan Turner | 20 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Luis Scola | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter