Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LA Clippers +8 (101-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 42 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 31 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 29 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 24 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 18 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Omer Asik | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 40 | 11-25 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 15 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Darren Collison | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Willie Green | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Glen Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter