Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +23 (109-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ish Smith * | 35 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 27 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dionte Christmas | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Alex Len | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 24 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alec Burks | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 21 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rudy Gobert | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Lucas III | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter