Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (108-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Bazemore * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 37 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 36 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 23 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 20 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tony Allen | 25 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Nick Calathes | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| James Johnson | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter