Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +20 (103-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Steve Blake | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| David Lee | 20 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Taj Gibson | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tony Snell | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Erik Murphy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tornike Shengelia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter