Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (115-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarre Carroll * | 37 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 32 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 31 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lou Williams | 32 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Mike Scott | 17 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 35 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 35 | 12-21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 25 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Phil Pressey | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter