Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +9 (115-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 38 | 9-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Gortat * | 38 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| John Wall * | 33 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 32 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Martell Webster | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Andre Miller | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Al Harrington | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter