Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +20 (118-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Bazemore * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 25 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 26 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Chris Kaman | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| David West * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Paul George * | 27 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| George Hill * | 24 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Evan Turner | 26 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 20 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola | 13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter