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2013-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 75.1% 24.9% -3.5 ✓ (4.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 76.9% 23.1% - ✓
Margin 76.0% 24.0% -6.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 75.7% 24.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.9% 37.1% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (96-104). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Green * 34 8-15 4-9 0-0 8 2 2 0 3 20 14 -
Channing Frye * 33 6-15 2-9 0-1 7 1 1 2 2 14 8 -
Goran Dragic * 33 10-17 2-5 1-2 1 13 0 0 0 23 20 -
P.J. Tucker * 29 3-7 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 1 7 9 -
Miles Plumlee * 26 4-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 8 8 -
Markieff Morris 28 6-11 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 12 9 -
Marcus Morris Sr. 26 7-13 2-2 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 16 12 -
Ish Smith 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 4 3 -
Archie Goodwin 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 39 3-12 0-4 0-2 5 5 2 1 4 6 3 -
Jameer Nelson * 38 6-13 1-4 2-2 3 9 0 0 1 15 13 -
Arron Afflalo * 35 6-14 0-2 4-4 7 6 0 0 3 16 12 -
Nikola Vučević * 33 10-16 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 20 14 -
Maurice Harkless * 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 5 4 -
Andrew Nicholson 25 5-8 3-4 6-6 8 0 0 0 0 19 19 -
Glen Davis 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 1 1 6 9 -
Tobias Harris 16 3-8 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
E'Twaun Moore 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter