Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (93-89). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 45 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 42 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 37 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 33 | 7-18 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 6-20 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 40 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Danny Green * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Gary Neal | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter