Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (73-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 44 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| David West * | 41 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 44 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Al Horford * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 34 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter