Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +23 (106-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 34 | 3-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 25 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Scott | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Jenkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| David West * | 35 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| George Hill * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Paul George * | 33 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 25 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter