Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (102-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 41 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| George Hill * | 40 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| David West * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Green | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 9-16 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 31 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 21 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter