Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +21 (90-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| David West * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Green | 22 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sam Young | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 40 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 38 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 33 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 29 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Jenkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike Scott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter