Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (118-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 41 | 11-16 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Matt Barnes | 36 | 11-14 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Grant Hill | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Willie Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Blake Griffin | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 12-17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 23 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter